The fall of the Assad regime in Syria has significant implications beyond the Middle East, particularly for Russia, which has maintained close military ties with the country. The Kremlin announced that no decision has been made regarding the future of Russian bases in Syria.
Russia has not yet started withdrawing troops and equipment, a process that could take months. Until 2015, Russia had a small naval facility in Tartus, which was expanded after Russia’s involvement in the Syrian conflict.
This base was crucial for Russian operations in the Mediterranean and Red Seas. Additionally, the Khmeimim airbase in Latakia became a hub for Russian missions and arms shipments to Africa.
The loss of these bases would impact Russian operations in Africa, where Russia has increased its influence, providing military support to countries like the Central African Republic, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger. Russian mercenaries, such as those from the Africa Corps, operate in Mali and Burkina Faso, but their activities are often opaque and linked to human rights abuses.
The increased instability in the Sahel and losses suffered by Russian forces have led to political unrest in African capitals, prompting them to consider partnerships with countries like Iran and Turkey. The future of Russia’s presence in Syria depends on the new Syrian leadership, with whom Moscow is reportedly in contact.
Source: NOS